April 2022 is a Seller's market! 

The number of for sale listings was up 30% from one year earlier and up 56.7% from the previous month. The number of sold listings decreased 8.2% year over year and increased 3% month over month. The number of under contract listings was up 1.7% compared to previous month and down 2.3% compared to previous year. The Months of Inventory based on Closed Sales is 0.8, up 56.3% from the previous year.

The Average Sold Price per Square Footage was up 2.4% compared to previous month and up 17.6% compared to last year. The Median Sold Price increased by 4.7% from last month. The Average Sold Price also increased by 4.7% from last month. Based on the 6 month trend, the Average Sold Price trend is "Appreciating" and the Median Sold Price trend is "Appreciating".

The Average Days on Market showed a downward trend, a decrease of 14.3% compared to previous year. The ratio of Sold Price vs. Original List Price is 108%, an increase of 0.9% compared to previous year.

It is a Seller's Market 

Property Sales (Sold)
April property sales were 7495, down 8.2% from 8165 in April of 2021 and 3% higher than the 7276 sales last month.


Current Inventory (For Sale)
Versus last year, the total number of properties available this month is higher by 1304 units of 30%. This year's bigger inventory means that buyers who waited to buy may have bigger selection to choose from. The number of current inventory is up 56.7% compared to the previous month.


Property Under Contract (Pended)
There was an increase of 1.7% in the pended properties in April, with 7923 properties versus 7793 last month. This month's pended property sales were 2.3% lower than at this time last year.

Rising interest rates and inflation, coupled with slight improvement in inventory, may bring some normalcy to Western Washington’s frenzied housing market. The Puget Sound housing market has shifted down several levels of hotness in most areas and is more in alignment with the strong market we saw pre-pandemic. Not all homes are selling within the first week on the market. The intensity adjustment means multiple offers will not be as commonplace as they’ve been in the last two years. Premium pricing (above asking price) is softening as well. The normal seasonality in the real estate market will be more pronounced, bringing a bit of normalcy to home buyers and sellers but there will still be an “elevated buyer focus on each new listing.

Last month’s sales of single family homes and condominiums across 26 counties in the report had a list price to sales price ratio of 107.8%, which was down from March when it reached a 12-month peak of 108.2%. A year ago, the ratio was 106.6%. The latest MLS report showed a mix of positive and negative numbers. 11,681 new listings of single family homes and condos during April is the highest number since last July when 12,916 listings were added. Happy buyers in all areas other than King County celebrating last month’s jump in active listings as it means they now have more homes to choose from.

Unfortunately for King County buyers, the area is still desperate for inventory and competition is as fierce as ever. At month end, the selection of homes and condos in the database totaled 6,514, the highest level since September 2021 when there were 7,757 total active listings. Notably, the number of new listings (11,681) surpassed the number of pending sales (9,760), to help boost inventory. Pending sales were down about 7.8% from a year ago and down 3% from March. This is evidence that interest rates are having a cooling effect on some parts of the suburban market and along the I-5 corridor.

With limited selection, sales in those areas also plunged, while prices increased. For condos system-wide the median price on last month’s sales was $485,000 (up 15.5% from a year ago); in King County, where more than 60% of sales occurred, YOY prices rose 12.6%, from $460,000 to $518,000. Area-wide prices for single family home sales (excluding condos) in King County also increased, climbing nearly 20% from a year ago, from $830,000 to $995,000. Closed sales of homes and condos slid from year ago, from 8,791 to 8,344 for a drop of around 5.1%. We are starting to see signs of impact from the significant rise in mortgage rates earlier this year, such as an increase in active listings and months of inventory creeping higher, but the full impact will likely not be felt for a few months.

Higher priced homes requiring a mortgage “are feeling some heat from recent interest rates.” The NWMLS report shows there was about three weeks (.78 months) of inventory of single family homes and condos combined at the end of April. By this metric, that is the highest level in nearly 18 months. MLS data show there was .80 months of supply in October 2020. Despite the improving inventory, and in spite of rising interest rates, brokers report brisk activity and are not seeing prices ease much.

One thing that has not been impacted by rising financing costs is home price growth. Including a whopping  27% in Snohomish County, the highest by far in the four-county Puget Sound region. Even with rising mortgage rates, inflation and high gas prices, the housing market remains strong with prices continuing to increase. Inventory is improving in most counties giving buyers more choices and making sellers a little more flexible in considering financing and inspection contingencies. Demand continues to create multiple offers on homes in key locations and on median priced properties.

It may seem contrary to good news for prospective home buyers, but the increase in interest rates may have a positive side. We are seeing signs that the peak ‘zeal’ of the competitive offer frenzy may be levelling off a bit. While we might have seen 10 offers on an active listing, now we may see only five, or sometimes fewer.

Do not expect a dramatic change in the regional market but believe that there could be a “levelling off” from the double digit-plus year-over-year appreciation. Increases in interest rates “haven’t appeared to cool off the market quite yet.” Median prices on single family homes have been skyrocketing so far this year with prices for sales in King County just shy of $1 million in April.

It will be interesting to see how interest rates influence these markets as the search for value among first time buyers continues. With mortgage interest rates drifting upward in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s hikes in its baseline interest rate, some brokers recommend quick action by prospective home buyers. We will not likely see interest rates back to 3%. Never before has it been more important to get preapproved and get serious about finding a home as now. Owning real estate is a hedge against rising inflation. Homeowners with a fixed rate mortgage will always have the same monthly payment, even as other costs rise. Affordability “greatly worsened” in the first quarter of 2022, pointing to sustained price appreciation and higher mortgage rates. NAR reported the monthly mortgage payment on a typical existing single family home with a 20% down payment raised $319, or 30%, from one year ago, to $1,383. Declines are “unlikely,” but expect “more pullbacks in housing demand as mortgage rates take a heavier toll on affordability. Declining affordability is always the most problematic to first time buyers who have no home to leverage, and it remains challenging for moderate-income potential buyers as well.

 Know the Top 5 Things You Need To Ask For When Getting Mortgage Rates. 
George Moorhead of Bentley Properties talks about Inflations Causing Rates To Go Up and Is The Real Estate Market Crashing? Plus, Top 5 Things You Need To Look For When Getting Mortgage Rates. 

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GEORGE MOORHEAD - Bentley Properties
[email protected]
Direct: 425-236-6777
14205 SE 36th St., Suite 100, Bellevue WA 98006
www.GeorgeMoorhead.com